Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.168728 0.190055 0.212463 0.237709 0.265306 0.294501 0.327666
2025-03-30 0.139744 0.168440 0.200188 0.237731 0.280720 0.328213 0.384447
2025-04-06 0.118655 0.151791 0.190126 0.237359 0.293568 0.357892 0.436614
2025-04-13 0.102222 0.138091 0.181302 0.236517 0.304467 0.384608 0.485459
2025-04-20 0.091006 0.129161 0.176823 0.239711 0.319387 0.415808 0.540032
2025-04-27 0.083242 0.123559 0.175591 0.246221 0.338006 0.451574 0.600847
2025-05-04 0.074665 0.115843 0.170708 0.247250 0.349148 0.477888 0.650289
2025-05-11 0.069185 0.111715 0.170022 0.253356 0.366657 0.512406 0.710722
2025-05-18 0.064405 0.108033 0.169480 0.259305 0.383829 0.546678 0.771496
2025-05-25 0.057910 0.101157 0.163825 0.257615 0.390271 0.566704 0.813883
2025-06-01 0.052644 0.095603 0.159560 0.257415 0.398428 0.588910 0.859385
2025-06-08 0.047785 0.090195 0.155039 0.256411 0.405141 0.609055 0.902324
2025-06-15 0.044903 0.087809 0.155023 0.262151 0.421867 0.643739 0.966441
2025-06-22 0.040907 0.083175 0.151167 0.261827 0.429664 0.666100 1.014089
2025-06-29 0.037270 0.078789 0.147348 0.261238 0.436875 0.687648 1.060953
2025-07-06 0.033924 0.074571 0.143461 0.260229 0.443251 0.707990 1.106413
2025-07-13 0.031719 0.072210 0.142445 0.263623 0.456269 0.738094 1.166246
2025-07-20 0.030328 0.071238 0.143677 0.270618 0.474939 0.776783 1.239097
2025-07-27 0.028076 0.068372 0.141420 0.271712 0.484366 0.801982 1.292885
2025-08-03 0.026860 0.067439 0.142472 0.278289 0.502527 0.840479 1.366707
2025-08-10 0.025701 0.066507 0.143436 0.284697 0.520535 0.879068 1.441333
2025-08-17 0.023490 0.063140 0.139725 0.282872 0.525156 0.897423 1.486311
2025-08-24 0.021680 0.060439 0.137050 0.282656 0.532281 0.919629 1.537315